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UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Zagreb, Croatia
10 Apr 2016
Middleweight
VS
55%
Chirico
45%
Velickovic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AD
Alessio Di Chirico
"Manzo"
137
6'0"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
BV
Bojan Velickovic
"Serbian Steel"
156
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'0"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Bojan VelickovicwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alessio Di Chirico · UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chirico
Actual result
Velickovic wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Chirico at 55% vs Velickovic at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Chirico's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ChiricoVelickovic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Chirico
Velickovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Chirico
Velickovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
16.5
39.3
Performance Avg
38.5
41
Quality of Victory
38
25
Momentum Score
56
Chirico
Velickovic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
4.7
4.7
Style: Volume
4.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
6
5
Body
5
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance11
2Clinch2
2Ground0
Chirico
Velickovic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chirico
Velickovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/21 fights
Chirico
Velickovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Chirico
Velickovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chirico
Velickovic
Striking5.7 / 5.8Volume4.7 / 4.8Grappling1.2 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Chirico
Strike Zones
Velickovic
Chirico
Attacking
15HEAD5BODY3LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Velickovic
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD5BODY3LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chirico targets the head (65% of attacks) — Velickovic absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Velickovic targets the head (46% of attacks) — Chirico absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chirico
RND
Velickovic
0/0R00/0

Chirico · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Roman Kopylov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak Alhassan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R1
Joaquin Buckley
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Zak Cummings
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud Muradov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09

Velickovic · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jake Matthews
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Darren Till
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · KO · R3
Nicholas Musoke
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Sultan Aliev
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
Upcoming
Michael Graves
Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

News & Media

Alessio Di Chirico · Bojan Velickovic
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