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UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Zagreb, Croatia
10 Apr 2016
Middleweight
VS
55%
Chirico
45%
Velickovic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AD
Alessio Di Chirico
"Manzo"
13 – 7
6'0"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
BV
Bojan Velickovic
"Serbian Steel"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'0"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Bojan VelickovicwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alessio Di Chirico · UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chirico
→
Actual result
Velickovic wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Chirico at 55% vs Velickovic at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Chirico has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Chirico's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ChiricoVelickovic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chirico
Velickovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Chirico
Velickovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
16.5
39.3
Performance Avg
38.5
41
Quality of Victory
38
25
Momentum Score
56
Chirico
Velickovic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.8
43%
Strike Accuracy
31%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
6
5
Body
5
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance11
2Clinch2
2Ground0
Chirico
Velickovic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chirico
Velickovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/21 fights
Chirico
Velickovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Chirico
Velickovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chirico
Velickovic
Striking5.7 / 5.8Volume4.7 / 4.8Grappling1.2 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Chirico
Strike Zones
Velickovic
Chirico
Attacking
15HEAD5BODY3LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Velickovic
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD5BODY3LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chirico targets the head (65% of attacks) — Velickovic absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Velickovic targets the head (46% of attacks) — Chirico absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chirico
RND
Velickovic
0/0R00/0

Chirico · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W6.1L6.5L5.9L6.2W3.0L5.0L2016-042017-122019-092021-082022-09
WinLossTrend

Velickovic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W5.5L5.5W5.5L6.5L2016-042016-122017-052017-092017-11
WinLossTrend

Chirico · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R1
Joaquin BuckleyRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09

Velickovic · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Darren TillRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · KO · R3
Nicholas MusokeRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Sultan AlievRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
Upcoming
Michael Graves
Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

News & Media

Alessio Di Chirico · Bojan Velickovic
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