METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Featherweight
VS
51%
Emmers
49%
Jenkins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jack JenkinswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jamall Emmers · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Emmers
→
Actual result
Jenkins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Emmers at 51% vs Jenkins at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Emmers has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Emmers's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jenkins has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EmmersJenkins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Emmers
Jenkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
68"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Emmers
Jenkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.8
46.1
49.5
Performance Avg
41.6
43
Quality of Victory
31
40
Momentum Score
66
Emmers
Jenkins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
3.5
5.2
Style: Volume
7.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground5
Emmers
Jenkins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Emmers
Jenkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/30 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Emmers
Jenkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
66
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Emmers
Jenkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Emmers
Jenkins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
EmmersJenkins
Strike Zones
Emmers
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedJenkins
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Emmers targets the head (88% of attacks) — Jenkins absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Jenkins targets the head (75% of attacks) — Emmers absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Emmers
RND
Jenkins
0/0R00/0
Emmers · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Lerryan DouglasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Hyder AmilDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gabriel MirandaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Dennis BuzukjaKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Jenkins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Sub · R3
Gabriel SantosSubmission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Herbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Chepe MariscalKO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09