METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
Las Vegas, USA
16 Dec 2023
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Buday
49%
Gaziev
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:56
★ Official Result
Shamil GazievwinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:56
def. Martin Buday · UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Buday
→
Actual result
Gaziev wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Buday at 51% vs Gaziev at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Gaziev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Gaziev has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BudayGaziev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Buday
Gaziev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
+78"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Buday
Gaziev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
51.9
52.5
Performance Avg
52.9
29
Quality of Victory
50
78
Momentum Score
49
Buday
Gaziev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
8.6
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
7.0
8.6
Style: Volume
3.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
8
0
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance12
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Buday
Gaziev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Buday
Gaziev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
34
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Buday
Gaziev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
49
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Buday
Gaziev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buday
Gaziev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.6
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
BudayGaziev
Strike Zones
Buday
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedGaziev
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buday targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gaziev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gaziev targets the head (62% of attacks) — Buday absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buday
RND
Gaziev
0/0R00/0
Buday · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Shamil GazievKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
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Gaziev · Last 5
W · KO · R1
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Thomas PetersenKO/TKO
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