UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Lightweight
VS
61%
Turner
39%
Mullarkey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Turner
Turner holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Mullarkey has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Turner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Turner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Turner's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mullarkey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Turner
Mullarkey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
31
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Turner
Mullarkey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.7
38.1
56.4
Performance Avg
40.0
56
Quality of Victory
36
65
Momentum Score
51
Turner
Mullarkey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Turner
Mullarkey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Turner
Mullarkey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Turner
Mullarkey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
51
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Turner
Mullarkey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Turner
Mullarkey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
TurnerMullarkey
Strike Zones
Turner
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMullarkey
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Turner targets the head (77% of attacks) — Mullarkey absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Mullarkey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Turner
RND
Mullarkey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Turner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Mullarkey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 5.5KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
Mullarkey · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Nasrat HaqparastRating 2.1KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 4.5Decision
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