UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Women's Featherweight
VS
93%
Nunes
7%
Fairn
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nunes
Nunes is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fairn has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nunes
Fairn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+72"
32+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Fairn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.2
3.7
42.0
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
81
Momentum Score
0
Nunes
Fairn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.9
2.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
33%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
29
9
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
28Distance33
6Clinch1
0Ground0
Nunes
Fairn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nunes
Fairn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Nunes
Fairn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Nunes
Fairn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Fairn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NunesFairn
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedFairn
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (74% of attacks) — Fairn absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Fairn targets the head (85% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Fairn
0/0R00/0
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Fairn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Nunes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Priscila CachoeiraRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Zarah FairnRating 4.5Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Ramona PascualRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
Fairn · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesRating 6.3Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Felicia SpencerRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10