UFC 99: The Comeback
Cologne, Germany
13 Jun 2009
Catch Weight
VS
49%
Franklin
51%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Franklin at 49% vs Silva at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Franklin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Franklin's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Franklin
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
74"
51
Age
+49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Franklin
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
18.9
57.9
Performance Avg
48.5
50
Quality of Victory
53
50
Momentum Score
72
Franklin
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
37%
7.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.8
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
11
4
Body
2
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
16Distance12
3Clinch6
0Ground0
Franklin
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Franklin
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/36 fights
Chin rating based on
12/48 fights
Franklin
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
72
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Franklin
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
80%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Franklin
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
FranklinSilva
Strike Zones
Franklin
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedSilva
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Franklin targets the head (68% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (61% of attacks) — Franklin absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Franklin
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Franklin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Franklin · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cung LeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Wanderlei SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
Silva · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Brian StannRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Rich FranklinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
W · KO · R2
Cung LeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Chris LebenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 4.5Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02