Francis Ngannou vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje

Jacksonville, USA

9 May 2020

Heavyweight

46%

Ngannou

54%

Rozenstruik

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 0:20

Francis Ngannou

"The Predator"

17 – 3

6'4"83" reachOrthodox40 yrs6-fight win streakKnockout Artist

CFR 43

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

"Bigi Boy"

15 – 6

Knockout Artist38 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"

CFR 51

★ Official Result

Francis NgannouwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:20

def. Jairzinho Rozenstruik · UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Rozenstruik

→

Actual result

Ngannou wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ngannou at 46% vs Rozenstruik at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Rozenstruik has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

NgannouRozenstruik

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Ngannou

Rozenstruik

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'4"+

Height

6'2"

83"+

Reach

78"

Age

+38

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Ngannou

Rozenstruik

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

43.0

51.3

70.4

Performance Avg

56.7

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Ngannou

Rozenstruik

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

9.2

/ 10

10.0

/ 10

8.4

Style: Pressure

8.0

2.4

Style: Volume

2.1

9 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

8 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance5

0Clinch0

3Ground0

Ngannou

Rozenstruik

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.9

/ 10

0.3

/ 10

0.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.2

0.8

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Ngannou

Rozenstruik

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

5 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

14/20 fights

Chin rating based on

15/21 fights

Ngannou

Rozenstruik

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

6-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · Dec · R5

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R4

L · Sub · R1

W · KO · R1

Ngannou

Rozenstruik

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

83%

89%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ngannou

Rozenstruik

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

9.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

10.0

0.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.3

0.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.2

0.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

8.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.0

2.4

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.1

Ngannou

Strike Zones

Rozenstruik

Ngannou

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Rozenstruik

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Ngannou targets the head (83% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 83% of strikes there

🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (60% of attacks) — Ngannou absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ngannou

RND

Rozenstruik

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Ngannou · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Ciryl Gane

Decision

UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01

W · KO · R2

Stipe Miocic

KO/TKO

UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03

W · KO · R1

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

KO/TKO

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

W · KO · R1

Junior Dos Santos

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06

W · KO · R1

Cain Velasquez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02

Rozenstruik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Sergei Pavlovich

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02

W · Dec · R3

Tai Tuivasa

Decision

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

W · KO · R4

Shamil Gaziev

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

L · Sub · R1

Jailton Almeida

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05

W · KO · R1

Chris Daukaus

KO/TKO

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

News & Media

Francis Ngannou · Jairzinho Rozenstruik

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