UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
18 Jul 2020
Middleweight
VS
57%
Hermansson
43%
Gastelum
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:18
Jack
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
24 – 10
6'1"77" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Kelvin
Kelvin Gastelum
21 – 11
Well-Rounded34 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hermansson

This is a genuine toss-up — Hermansson at 57% vs Gastelum at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hermansson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hermansson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gastelum has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hermansson
Gastelum
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
77"+
Reach
71"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hermansson
Gastelum
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
41.4
48.1
Performance Avg
47.4
42
Quality of Victory
42
97
Momentum Score
28
Hermansson
Gastelum
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hermansson
Gastelum
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hermansson
Gastelum
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/34 fights
Chin rating based on
26/32 fights
Hermansson
Gastelum
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Hermansson
Gastelum
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
36%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hermansson
Gastelum
Striking3.9 / 3.3Volume4.8 / 6.3Grappling3.3 / 2.7Wrestling2.3 / 1.9Submission2.7 / 1.4Pressure5.6 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Hermansson
Strike Zones
Gastelum
Hermansson
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Gastelum
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hermansson targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hermansson
RND
Gastelum
0/0R00/0

Hermansson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W6.1W5.0W4.5W3.1L5.3W6.3L5.9W6.6L5.2W4.2L6.5W3.1L3.1L2016-092018-052020-072022-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Gastelum · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.2W6.1L4.5W5.5W3.6L5.0W4.5W6.9L5.5L2.4L4.5W6.4L6.5L5.2W5.1L5.4W7.5L4.5W3.0L2013-042015-112019-112024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Hermansson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

Gastelum · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Joe PyferRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R3
Sean BradyRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

News & Media

Jack Hermansson · Kelvin Gastelum
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