METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
London, United Kingdom
21 Feb 2009
Welterweight
VS
44%
Thiago
56%
Koscheck
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:29
★ Official Result
Paulo ThiagowinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:29
def. Josh Koscheck · UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Koscheck
→
Actual result
Thiago wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Thiago at 44% vs Koscheck at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Thiago's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Koscheck has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThiagoKoscheck
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thiago
Koscheck
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
73"
45+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thiago
Koscheck
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
16.9
37.5
Performance Avg
50.5
37
Quality of Victory
44
39
Momentum Score
59
Thiago
Koscheck
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
4.0
Style: Pressure
6.0
5.6
Style: Volume
4.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
1
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Thiago
Koscheck
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thiago
Koscheck
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
25/28 fights
Thiago
Koscheck
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Thiago
Koscheck
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thiago
Koscheck
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
ThiagoKoscheck
Strike Zones
Thiago
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedKoscheck
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thiago targets the head (57% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Koscheck targets the head (75% of attacks) — Thiago absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thiago
RND
Koscheck
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Thiago · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Koscheck · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
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L · Sub · R2
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L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksDecision
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