UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2011
Lightweight
VS
62%
Makdessi
38%
Hallman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Makdessi
Makdessi holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Hallman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hallman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hallman has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Makdessi
Hallman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+72"
41+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Makdessi
Hallman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
18.9
42.2
Performance Avg
46.7
34
Quality of Victory
48
51
Momentum Score
79
Makdessi
Hallman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
20
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground20
Makdessi
Hallman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Makdessi
Hallman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
9/73 fights
Makdessi
Hallman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Makdessi
Hallman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
75%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Hallman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
MakdessiHallman
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedHallman
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hallman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Hallman
0/0R00/0
Makdessi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hallman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Hallman · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
John MakdessiRating 5Submission
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R1
Brian EbersoleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · KO · R1
Karo ParisyanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · Dec · R3
Ben SaundersRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
L · KO · R3
John HowardRating 4KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12