UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Melbourne, Australia
9 Feb 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
85%
Rosa
15%
Kassem
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rosa
Rosa is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rosa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Kassem throws more volume but Rosa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Kassem has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rosa
Kassem
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
66"
31
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rosa
Kassem
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.1
10.0
47.2
Performance Avg
28.3
42
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
27
Rosa
Kassem
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
36%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Rosa
Kassem
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosa
Kassem
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/7 fights
Rosa
Kassem
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
27
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Rosa
Kassem
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosa
Kassem
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
RosaKassem
Strike Zones
Rosa
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedKassem
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kassem absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Kassem targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosa
RND
Kassem
0/0R00/0
Rosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Kassem · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Rosa · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
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L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
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L · Sub · R2
Tatiana SuarezRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
Kassem · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Ji Yeon KimRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Sub · R2
Montana De La RosaRating 3.8Submission
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex ChambersRating 4.5Decision
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