UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Heavyweight
VS
39%
Beltran
61%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:24
JB
Joey Beltran
"The Mexicutioner"
17 – 14
6'1"75" reachOrthodox44 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 15
LJ
Lavar Johnson
"Big"
18 – 10
Knockout Artist2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox82" reach6'4"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Beltran has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Beltran's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Beltran
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+82"
44+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Beltran
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
23.3
39.3
Performance Avg
56.0
43
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
79
Beltran
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
5.1
34%
Strike Accuracy
64%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
49
7
Body
10
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
19Distance51
3Clinch14
0Ground0
Beltran
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Beltran
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/31 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Beltran
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
79
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Beltran
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Beltran
Johnson
Striking7.3 / 10.0Volume3.3 / 1.0Grappling0.8 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.7 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Beltran
Strike Zones
Johnson
Beltran
Attacking
11HEAD7BODY4LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
49HEAD10BODY6LEGS65 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
49HEAD10BODY6LEGS65 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD7BODY4LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Beltran targets the head (50% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Beltran absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Beltran
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Beltran · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5W6.6L1.5L5.5L5.5L2010-022011-012012-012013-10
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L2012-012012-052012-052013-02
WinLossTrend

Beltran · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Upcoming
Igor Pokrajac
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
James Te HunaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10

Johnson · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Brendan SchaubRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Stefan StruveRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Joey BeltranRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01

News & Media

Joey Beltran · Lavar Johnson
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