METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Heavyweight
VS
39%
Beltran
61%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:24
★ Official Result
Lavar JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:24
def. Joey Beltran · UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Beltran has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Beltran's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BeltranJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Beltran
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+82"
44+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Beltran
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
23.3
39.3
Performance Avg
56.0
43
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
79
Beltran
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
5.1
34%
Strike Accuracy
64%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
49
7
Body
10
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
19Distance51
3Clinch14
0Ground0
Beltran
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Beltran
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/31 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Beltran
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
79
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Beltran
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Beltran
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BeltranJohnson
Strike Zones
Beltran
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
65 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
65 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Beltran targets the head (50% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Beltran absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Beltran
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Beltran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Beltran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Upcoming
Igor PokrajacUFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
James Te HunaRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
Johnson · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Brendan SchaubRating 5.5Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Stefan StruveRating 1.5Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Joey BeltranRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01