METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Heavyweight
VS
39%
Beltran
61%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:24
★ Official Result
Lavar JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:24
def. Joey Beltran · UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Beltran has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Beltran's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BeltranJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Beltran
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+82"
44+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Beltran
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
23.3
39.3
Performance Avg
56.0
43
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
79
Beltran
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.3
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
8.5
3.3
Style: Volume
1.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
49
7
Body
10
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
19Distance51
3Clinch14
0Ground0
Beltran
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Beltran
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/31 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Beltran
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
79
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Beltran
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Beltran
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BeltranJohnson
Strike Zones
Beltran
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
65 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
65 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Beltran targets the head (50% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Beltran absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Beltran
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Beltran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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