UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jan 2024
Flyweight
VS
59%
Van
41%
Bunes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:31
Joshua
Joshua Van
"The Fearless"
17 – 2
5'5"65" reachOrthodox24 yrs7-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 68
Felipe
Felipe Bunes
"Felipinho"
14 – 9
Submission Hunter2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Van

This is a genuine toss-up — Van at 59% vs Bunes at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Van has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Van
Bunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+69"
24+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Van
Bunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.8
47.4
62.6
Performance Avg
42.4
44
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
29
Van
Bunes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
1.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
56
Head
15
13
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
47Distance20
9Clinch1
13Ground0
Van
Bunes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Van
Bunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/23 fights
Van
Bunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
29
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Van
Bunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Van
Bunes
Striking5.8 / 0.5Volume6.6 / 0.5Grappling1.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.0 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure5.5 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Van
Strike Zones
Bunes
Van
Attacking
56HEAD13BODY0LEGS69 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD6BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Bunes
Attacking
15HEAD6BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
56HEAD13BODY0LEGS69 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Van targets the head (81% of attacks) — Bunes absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Bunes targets the head (71% of attacks) — Van absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Van
RND
Bunes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Van · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W5.9W4.9L5.5W4.6W4.7W6.4W5.3W6.3W7.2W2023-062024-072025-032025-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Bunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0104.4L5.6W6.1L6.5L2024-012025-012025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Van · Last 5

W · KO · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rei TsuruyaRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03

Bunes · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Edgar ChairezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Rafael EstevamRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Jose JohnsonRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · KO · R2
Joshua VanRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

News & Media

Joshua Van · Felipe Bunes
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