METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jan 2024
Flyweight
VS
59%
Van
41%
Bunes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:31
★ Official Result
Joshua VanwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:31
def. Felipe Bunes · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Van
→
Actual result
Van wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Van at 59% vs Bunes at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Van has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VanBunes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Van
Bunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+69"
24+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Van
Bunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.8
47.4
62.6
Performance Avg
42.4
44
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
29
Van
Bunes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
1.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
56
Head
15
13
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
47Distance20
9Clinch1
13Ground0
Van
Bunes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Van
Bunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/23 fights
Van
Bunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
29
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Van
Bunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Van
Bunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
VanBunes
Strike Zones
Van
Attacking
69 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedBunes
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
69 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Van targets the head (81% of attacks) — Bunes absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Bunes targets the head (71% of attacks) — Van absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Van
RND
Bunes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Van · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Bunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Van · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rei TsuruyaRating 4.7Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
Bunes · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Edgar ChairezRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Rafael EstevamRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Jose JohnsonRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · KO · R2
Joshua VanRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01