UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira
Portland, USA
29 Aug 2009
Middleweight
VS
54%
Munoz
46%
Catone
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Munoz
This is a genuine toss-up — Munoz at 54% vs Catone at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Munoz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Munoz's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Munoz
Catone
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
71"
Reach
+72"
48
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Munoz
Catone
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
13.3
48.3
Performance Avg
38.7
41
Quality of Victory
31
55
Momentum Score
30
Munoz
Catone
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
4
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
5Clinch1
10Ground1
Munoz
Catone
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Munoz
Catone
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Munoz
Catone
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
30
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Munoz
Catone
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Munoz
Catone
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
MunozCatone
Strike Zones
Munoz
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedCatone
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Munoz targets the head (90% of attacks) — Catone absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Catone targets the head (100% of attacks) — Munoz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Munoz
RND
Catone
0/0R00/0
Munoz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Catone · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Munoz · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Luke BarnattRating 4.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Roan CarneiroRating 1.5Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Sub · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Lyoto MachidaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 4.5Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
Catone · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tom WatsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
L · Sub · R2
TJ WaldburgerRating 2.8Submission
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L · R3
Chris CamozziRating 5.5UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 4.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesse ForbesRating 4.5Decision
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