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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Sydney, Australia
18 Nov 2017
Lightweight
VS
66%
Lentz
34%
Brooks
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:05
NL
Nik Lentz
"The Carny"
3012
5'8"68" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
WB
Will Brooks
"Ill"
184
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 8
★ Official Result
Nik LentzwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:05
def. Will Brooks · UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lentz
Actual result
Lentz wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Lentz holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Brooks has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lentz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Brooks has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lentz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brooks has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LentzBrooks
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Lentz
Brooks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+72"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lentz
Brooks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
8.4
45.3
Performance Avg
25.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
17
Lentz
Brooks
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
57%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
23
4
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance20
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Lentz
Brooks
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lentz
Brooks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
25/42 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Lentz
Brooks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
17
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lentz
Brooks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lentz
Brooks
Striking3.4 / 0.5Volume6.4 / 8.5Grappling2.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.9 / 1.7Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Lentz
Strike Zones
Brooks
Lentz
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD0BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Brooks
Attacking
23HEAD0BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lentz targets the head (36% of attacks) — Brooks absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Brooks targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lentz
RND
Brooks
0/0R00/0

Lentz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5L4.8L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.4L4.5W5.2W7.5L5.2W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.2L6.9L6.8L2009-092012-012015-052018-102021-01
WinLossTrend

Brooks · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0104.5W4.0L2.9L2.8L2016-072016-102017-042017-11
WinLossTrend

Lentz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

Brooks · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Nik LentzRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07

News & Media

Nik Lentz · Will Brooks
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