UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Sydney, Australia
18 Nov 2017
Lightweight
VS
66%
Lentz
34%
Brooks
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:05
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lentz
Lentz holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Brooks has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lentz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Brooks has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lentz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brooks has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lentz
Brooks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+72"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lentz
Brooks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
8.4
45.3
Performance Avg
25.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
17
Lentz
Brooks
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
57%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
23
4
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance20
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Lentz
Brooks
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lentz
Brooks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/42 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Lentz
Brooks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
17
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lentz
Brooks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lentz
Brooks
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
LentzBrooks
Strike Zones
Lentz
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedBrooks
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lentz targets the head (36% of attacks) — Brooks absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Brooks targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lentz
RND
Brooks
0/0R00/0
Lentz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Brooks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Lentz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Brooks · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Nik LentzRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07