UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Welterweight
VS
70%
Grant
30%
Jr.
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grant
Grant is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Grant has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Jr. has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Grant's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jr. has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Grant
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
75"
41
Age
+32
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Grant
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.2
9.8
37.0
Performance Avg
28.3
37
Quality of Victory
25
59
Momentum Score
27
Grant
Jr.
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.0
36%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
2
Body
9
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance14
2Clinch3
6Ground0
Grant
Jr.
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Grant
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
27
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Grant
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Jr.
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
GrantJr.
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedJr.
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (70% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the body (53% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Grant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jr. · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Grant · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R2
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 2.8KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Stefan SekulicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
Jr. · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Dwight GrantRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Alex OliveiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Brad ScottRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05