METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Welterweight
VS
70%
Grant
30%
Jr.
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Dwight GrantwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:59
def. Carlo Pedersoli Jr. · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grant
→
Actual result
Grant wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Grant is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Grant has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Grant's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jr. has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GrantJr.
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grant
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
75"
41
Age
+33
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Grant
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.2
9.8
37.0
Performance Avg
28.3
37
Quality of Victory
25
59
Momentum Score
27
Grant
Jr.
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
1.0
6.1
Style: Volume
8.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
2
Body
9
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance14
2Clinch3
6Ground0
Grant
Jr.
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Grant
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
27
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Grant
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Jr.
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
GrantJr.
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedJr.
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (70% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the body (53% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Grant · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Francisco TrinaldoDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Stefan SekulicDecision
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L · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
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Jr. · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Dwight GrantKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Alex OliveiraKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Brad ScottDecision
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