Da'Mon Blackshear vs Mario Bautista — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley

Boston, USA

19 Aug 2023

Bantamweight

49%

Blackshear

51%

Bautista

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Da'Mon Blackshear

"The Monster"

17 – 8

5'10"72" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 55

Mario Bautista

17 – 3

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak33 yrsSwitch69" reach5'9"

CFR 56

★ Official Result

Mario BautistawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Da'Mon Blackshear · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Bautista

→

Actual result

Bautista wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Blackshear at 49% vs Bautista at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Blackshear has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Risk flags

Bautista has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

BlackshearBautista

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Blackshear

Bautista

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"+

Height

5'9"

72"+

Reach

69"

32+

Age

Switch

Stance

Switch

Blackshear

Bautista

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

55.1

56.3

50.7

Performance Avg

54.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Blackshear

Bautista

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.1

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

7.3

Style: Pressure

5.3

2.7

Style: Volume

6.3

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

16Distance17

5Clinch7

0Ground4

Blackshear

Bautista

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.3

/ 10

4.1

/ 10

3.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.9

6.0

Submission Style (/10)

3.3

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Blackshear

Bautista

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

11 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

10/25 fights

Chin rating based on

15/20 fights

Blackshear

Bautista

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

W · Sub · R1

L · KO · R1

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Blackshear

Bautista

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

80%

42%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Blackshear

Bautista

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.4

5.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.1

3.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.9

6.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

7.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.3

2.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.3

Blackshear

Strike Zones

Bautista

Blackshear

Attacking

21 landed

Absorbing

28 absorbed

Bautista

Attacking

28 landed

Absorbing

21 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Blackshear targets the head (57% of attacks) — Bautista absorbs 57% of strikes there

🎯Bautista targets the head (54% of attacks) — Blackshear absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Blackshear

RND

Bautista

0/0R00/0

Blackshear · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Davey Grant

Decision

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W · Dec · R3

Alatengheili

Decision

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W · Sub · R2

Cody Gibson

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03

W · Sub · R1

Cody Stamann

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11

L · KO · R1

Montel Jackson

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Bautista · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Cory Sandhagen

Decision

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Sub · R2

Vinicius Oliveira

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

L · Dec · R3

Umar Nurmagomedov

Decision

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W · Dec · R3

Patchy Mix

Decision

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06

W · Dec · R3

Jose Aldo

Decision

UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

News & Media

Da'Mon Blackshear · Mario Bautista

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