METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Ledyard, USA
5 Sept 2014
Heavyweight
VS
27%
Mitrione
73%
Lewis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:41
★ Official Result
Matt MitrionewinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:41
def. Derrick Lewis · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lewis
→
Actual result
Mitrione wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Lewis is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Mitrione throws more volume but Lewis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Mitrione's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lewis has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MitrioneLewis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mitrione
Lewis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
82"+
Reach
79"
48
Age
+41
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Mitrione
Lewis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
59.2
58.4
Performance Avg
57.5
54
Quality of Victory
53
82
Momentum Score
84
Mitrione
Lewis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
56%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.3
8 KOs
KO Finishes
16 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Mitrione
Lewis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mitrione
Lewis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
8
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/17 fights
Chin rating based on
32/42 fights
Mitrione
Lewis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Mitrione
Lewis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
80%
8
KO / TKO Wins
16
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mitrione
Lewis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
MitrioneLewis
Strike Zones
Mitrione
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLewis
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mitrione targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lewis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mitrione absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mitrione
RND
Lewis
0/0R00/0
Mitrione · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Mitrione · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Travis BrowneRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
W · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
Lewis · Last 5
Upcoming
Josh HokitUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11