Matt Mitrione vs Derrick Lewis — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi

Ledyard, USA

5 Sept 2014

Heavyweight

27%

Mitrione

73%

Lewis

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 0:41

Matt Mitrione

12 – 5

6'3"82" reachSwitch48 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist

CFR 22

Derrick Lewis

"The Black Beast"

29 – 13

Knockout Artist2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'3"

CFR 59

★ Official Result

Matt MitrionewinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:41

def. Derrick Lewis · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Lewis

→

Actual result

Mitrione wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Lewis is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Mitrione's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lewis has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

MitrioneLewis

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Mitrione

Lewis

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"

Height

6'3"

82"+

Reach

79"

Age

+41

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

Mitrione

Lewis

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

21.9

58.7

58.4

Performance Avg

56.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Mitrione

Lewis

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

10.0

/ 10

9.3

/ 10

8.2

Style: Pressure

7.5

2.2

Style: Volume

2.9

8 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

16 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance1

0Clinch0

5Ground0

Mitrione

Lewis

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

🥊

Pure striking matchup

Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history

Submission wins

Mitrione

Lewis

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.1 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

14/17 fights

Chin rating based on

32/42 fights

Mitrione

Lewis

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R3

L · Sub · R1

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R5

Mitrione

Lewis

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

89%

80%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mitrione

Lewis

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

10.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

9.3

0.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.5

0.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.3

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

8.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.5

2.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.9

Mitrione

Strike Zones

Lewis

Mitrione

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Lewis

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Mitrione targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Lewis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mitrione absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mitrione

RND

Lewis

0/0R00/0

Mitrione · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Travis Browne

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01

L · Sub · R1

Ben Rothwell

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06

W · KO · R1

Gabriel Gonzaga

KO/TKO

UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12

W · KO · R1

Derrick Lewis

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09

W · KO · R1

Shawn Jordan

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03

Lewis · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Josh Hokit

KO/TKO

UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06

L · KO · R2

Waldo Cortes Acosta

KO/TKO

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

W · KO · R1

Tallison Teixeira

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07

W · KO · R3

Rodrigo Nascimento

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

L · Dec · R5

Jailton Almeida

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

News & Media

Matt Mitrione · Derrick Lewis

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