UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Dallas, USA
19 Sept 2009
Welterweight
VS
55%
Koscheck
45%
Trigg
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Koscheck
This is a genuine toss-up — Koscheck at 55% vs Trigg at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Trigg has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Trigg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Koscheck's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trigg has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Koscheck
Trigg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
71"
48+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Koscheck
Trigg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
13.9
50.5
Performance Avg
45.9
44
Quality of Victory
58
59
Momentum Score
0
Koscheck
Trigg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.6
39%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Koscheck
Trigg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Koscheck
Trigg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/28 fights
Chin rating based on
7/30 fights
Koscheck
Trigg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Koscheck
Trigg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koscheck
Trigg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
KoscheckTrigg
Strike Zones
Koscheck
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTrigg
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koscheck targets the head (89% of attacks) — Trigg absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Trigg targets the head (100% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koscheck
RND
Trigg
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Koscheck · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Trigg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Koscheck · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
Trigg · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt SerraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
L · Sub · R1
Georges St-PierreRating 1.5Submission
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
L · Sub · R1
Matt HughesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
W · KO · R2
Renato VerissimoRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 50: The War Of '04 · 2004-10