METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Dallas, USA
8 Sept 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
36%
Esparza
64%
Suarez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:33
★ Official Result
Tatiana SuarezwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:33
def. Carla Esparza · UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Suarez
→
Actual result
Suarez wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Suarez holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Esparza has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Suarez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Esparza's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EsparzaSuarez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Esparza
Suarez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'5"
63"
Reach
+66"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Esparza
Suarez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
72.7
45.9
Performance Avg
64.5
35
Quality of Victory
48
60
Momentum Score
100
Esparza
Suarez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
7.4
7.7
Style: Volume
4.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
28
1
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance2
1Clinch0
0Ground31
Esparza
Suarez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.6
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Esparza
Suarez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/14 fights
Esparza
Suarez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Esparza
Suarez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
5
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Esparza
Suarez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
EsparzaSuarez
Strike Zones
Esparza
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedSuarez
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Esparza targets the body (100% of attacks) — Suarez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Suarez targets the head (85% of attacks) — Esparza absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Esparza
RND
Suarez
0/0R00/0
Esparza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Zhang WeiliSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R2
Yan XiaonanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Suarez · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Loopy GodinezSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosDecision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jessica AndradeSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Montana De La RosaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02