METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2022
Bantamweight
VS
95%
Jr.
5%
Perrin
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:44
★ Official Result
Raul Rosas Jr.winsSubmissionR1 · 2:44
def. Jay Perrin · UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jr.
→
Actual result
Jr. wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Jr. is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 64 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jr. has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Jr.Perrin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jr.
Perrin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
21+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Switch
Jr.
Perrin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.3
3.7
58.1
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Jr.
Perrin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.7
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jr.
Perrin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jr.
Perrin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Jr.
Perrin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jr.
Perrin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jr.
Perrin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Jr.Perrin
Strike Zones
Jr.
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedPerrin
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jr. targets the head (67% of attacks) — Perrin absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Perrin targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jr.
RND
Perrin
0/0R00/0
Jr. · Last 5
Upcoming
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