UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2022
Bantamweight
VS
93%
Jr.
7%
Perrin
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:44
Raul
Raul Rosas Jr.
"El Nino Problema"
12 – 1
5'9"67" reachSwitch21 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 67
Jay
Jay Perrin
"The Joker"
10 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide32 yrsSwitch67" reach5'7"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jr.

Jr. is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 62 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jr. has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Perrin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Jr.
Perrin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
21+
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Switch
Jr.
Perrin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.3
5.0
58.1
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Jr.
Perrin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
58%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jr.
Perrin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jr.
Perrin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Jr.
Perrin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jr.
Perrin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jr.
Perrin
Striking3.4 / 0.0Volume5.7 / 0.0Grappling3.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.7 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Jr.
Strike Zones
Perrin
Jr.
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Perrin
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jr. targets the head (67% of attacks) — Perrin absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Perrin targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jr.
RND
Perrin
0/0R00/0

Jr. · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W6.1L5.0W5.2W5.3W4.5W5.7W2022-122023-092024-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Perrin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.6L6.3L3.1L2022-022022-082022-12
WinLossTrend

Jr. · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
AoriqilengRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R2
Ricky TurciosRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Terrence MitchellRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Perrin · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 3.1
Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
AoriqilengRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02

News & Media

Raul Rosas Jr. · Jay Perrin
← Back to fights