★ Championship Bout · Women's Featherweight
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Women's Featherweight
VS
70%
Nunes
30%
Anderson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:03
AN
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
23 – 5
5'8"69" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
MA
Megan Anderson
11 – 5
Knockout Artist36 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nunes

Nunes is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nunes
Anderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Anderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
24.6
75.2
Performance Avg
62.8
66
Quality of Victory
71
100
Momentum Score
78
Nunes
Anderson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
48%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
0
0
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance2
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Nunes
Anderson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
1.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nunes
Anderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Nunes
Anderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Nunes
Anderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nunes
Anderson
Striking6.2 / 7.7Volume4.8 / 1.0Grappling2.4 / 2.7Wrestling1.7 / 1.9Submission1.9 / 3.3Pressure7.0 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Nunes
Strike Zones
Anderson
Nunes
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Anderson
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (83% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Anderson targets the body (50% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nunes
RND
Anderson
0/0R00/0

Nunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W6.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.9W5.9W5.0W5.9W6.1W5.0W5.1W5.7W4.8W5.0W3.7L6.0W5.3W2013-082016-032018-122021-122023-06
WinLossTrend

Anderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.6L5.0W1.8L5.0W5.5W2.7L2018-062018-122019-052019-102020-022021-03
WinLossTrend

Nunes · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06

Anderson · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7
Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Norma DumontRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · Sub · R1
Zarah FairnRating 5
Submission
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Sub · R1
Felicia SpencerRating 1.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · KO · R1
Cat ZinganoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12

News & Media

Amanda Nunes · Megan Anderson
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