UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
San Diego, USA
15 Jul 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
61%
Holm
39%
Reneau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
CFR 24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Holm
Holm holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Reneau has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reneau has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holm's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reneau has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Holm
Reneau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
44+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Holm
Reneau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
23.5
46.5
Performance Avg
44.1
42
Quality of Victory
46
30
Momentum Score
15
Holm
Reneau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
3
7
Body
4
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
27Distance8
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Holm
Reneau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holm
Reneau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Holm
Reneau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
15
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Holm
Reneau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holm
Reneau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
HolmReneau
Strike Zones
Holm
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedReneau
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holm targets the head (56% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Reneau targets the body (44% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holm
RND
Reneau
0/0R00/0
Holm · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Reneau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Holm · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.9Submission
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L · KO · R3
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