METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
San Diego, USA
15 Jul 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
71%
Holm
29%
Reneau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Holly HolmwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marion Reneau · UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holm
→
Actual result
Holm wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holm is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Holm's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reneau has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HolmReneau
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holm
Reneau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
44+
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Holm
Reneau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
14.9
46.5
Performance Avg
44.1
42
Quality of Victory
46
30
Momentum Score
15
Holm
Reneau
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
3.4
Style: Pressure
6.8
7.1
Style: Volume
2.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
3
7
Body
4
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
27Distance8
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Holm
Reneau
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holm
Reneau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Holm
Reneau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
15
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Holm
Reneau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holm
Reneau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
HolmReneau
Strike Zones
Holm
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedReneau
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holm targets the head (56% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Reneau targets the body (44% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holm
RND
Reneau
0/0R00/0
Holm · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonSubmission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno SilvaUFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07