UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Flyweight
VS
60%
40%
Raposo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Sumudaerji
Sumudaerji
"The Tibetan Eagle"
19 – 7
5'8"72" reachSouthpaw30 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Mitch
Mitch Raposo
10 – 3
Well-Rounded27 yrsSwitch64" reach5'5"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge:

holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Raposo has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Raposo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
72"+
Reach
64"
30
Age
+27
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Raposo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.6
31.1
42.5
Performance Avg
28.3
31
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
27
Raposo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
2
3
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance2
6Clinch0
0Ground0
Raposo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Raposo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Raposo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
27
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Raposo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Raposo
Striking2.9 / 0.7Volume7.9 / 8.7Grappling2.0 / 2.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Strike Zones
Raposo
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Raposo
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (70% of attacks) — Raposo absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Raposo targets the head (100% of attacks) — absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

RND
Raposo
0/0R00/0

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W2.9L1.6L6.4L4.5W4.5W5.4W2018-112021-012024-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Raposo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0107.0L6.1L4.5W2024-062025-042025-10
WinLossTrend

· Last 5

Upcoming
Alex Perez
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jesus AguilarRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin BorjasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

Raposo · Last 4

Upcoming
Allan Nascimento
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Azat MaksumRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
SumudaerjiRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Andre LimaRating 7
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

News & Media

Sumudaerji · Mitch Raposo
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