METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Flyweight
VS
56%
44%
Raposo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sumudaerji winsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mitch Raposo · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
→
Actual result
wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — at 56% vs Raposo at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Raposo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Raposo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
72"+
Reach
64"
30
Age
+27
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Raposo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.9
37.2
43.5
Performance Avg
35.0
30
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
39
Raposo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
2.9
Style: Pressure
1.5
8.1
Style: Volume
9.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
2
3
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance2
6Clinch0
0Ground0
Raposo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Raposo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Raposo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
39
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Raposo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Raposo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Strike Zones
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRaposo
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (70% of attacks) — Raposo absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Raposo targets the head (100% of attacks) — absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Raposo
0/0R00/0
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