METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Flyweight
VS
60%
40%
Raposo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sumudaerji winsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mitch Raposo · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
→
Actual result
wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Raposo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Raposo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Raposo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
72"+
Reach
64"
30
Age
+27
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Raposo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.6
31.1
42.5
Performance Avg
28.3
31
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
27
Raposo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
0.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
2
3
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance2
6Clinch0
0Ground0
Raposo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Raposo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Raposo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
27
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Raposo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Raposo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Strike Zones
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRaposo
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (70% of attacks) — Raposo absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Raposo targets the head (100% of attacks) — absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Raposo
0/0R00/0
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Raposo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
· Last 5
Upcoming
Alex PerezUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jesus AguilarRating 5.4Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin BorjasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Raposo · Last 4
Upcoming
Allan NascimentoUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Azat MaksumRating 4.5Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
SumudaerjiRating 6.1Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Andre LimaRating 7Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06