UFC 44: Undisputed
Las Vegas, USA
26 Sept 2003
Heavyweight
VS
78%
Arlovski
22%
Matyushenko
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arlovski
Arlovski is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Arlovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Matyushenko has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
47+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
13.5
50.5
Performance Avg
47.3
47
Quality of Victory
40
94
Momentum Score
20
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
9 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
2Clinch1
4Ground1
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
12/35 fights
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
20
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
43%
9
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
ArlovskiMatyushenko
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMatyushenko
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (89% of attacks) — Matyushenko absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Matyushenko targets the head (80% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Matyushenko
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Matyushenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Matyushenko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Jason BrilzRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
Alexandre FerreiraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
