UFC 44: Undisputed
Las Vegas, USA
26 Sept 2003
Heavyweight
VS
78%
Arlovski
22%
Matyushenko
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:59
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
3424
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
VM
Vladimir Matyushenko
"The Janitor"
278
Well-Rounded2-fight slide55 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

Arlovski is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Arlovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Matyushenko has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Arlovski
Matyushenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
47+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
13.5
50.5
Performance Avg
47.3
47
Quality of Victory
40
94
Momentum Score
20
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
9 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
2Clinch1
4Ground1
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
12/35 fights
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
20
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Arlovski
Matyushenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
43%
9
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Matyushenko
Striking5.0 / 5.5Volume5.3 / 5.7Grappling1.9 / 1.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.0Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Matyushenko
Arlovski
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Matyushenko
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (89% of attacks) — Matyushenko absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Matyushenko targets the head (80% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Matyushenko
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Matyushenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W2.2L4.5W4.5W3.3L5.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L2001-062003-022010-032011-042013-01
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
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Decision
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L · KO · R2
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KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
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Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
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Matyushenko · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Jason BrilzRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
Alexandre FerreiraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Vladimir Matyushenko
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