UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2022
Bantamweight
VS
92%
Rodriguez
8%
Weems
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:07
Christian
Christian Rodriguez
"Ceerod"
12 – 4
5'7"71" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
JW
Joshua Weems
"Wide Open"
11 – 3
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 4

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

Rodriguez is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Weems has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Rodriguez
Weems
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
71"+
Reach
69"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Weems
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.2
3.9
40.7
Performance Avg
0.0
31
Quality of Victory
0
64
Momentum Score
0
Rodriguez
Weems
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
7.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
69%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
9
0
Body
6
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance12
0Clinch6
1Ground0
Rodriguez
Weems
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Weems
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
1/14 fights
Rodriguez
Weems
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Rodriguez
Weems
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Weems
Striking1.1 / 0.0Volume7.5 / 0.0Grappling3.5 / 0.0Wrestling2.5 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Weems
Rodriguez
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD6BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Weems
Attacking
9HEAD6BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (89% of attacks) — Weems absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Weems targets the head (50% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Weems
0/0R00/0

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.0L5.0W6.1W5.5W5.8W1.7L5.9W6.7L6.2L2022-022023-102025-012025-08
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 5

Upcoming
Hyder Amil
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin BashiRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Sub · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Weems · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Christian RodriguezRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10

News & Media

Christian Rodriguez · Joshua Weems
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