METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Edmonton, Canada
9 Sept 2017
Flyweight
VS
81%
Cejudo
19%
Reis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:25
★ Official Result
Henry CejudowinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:25
def. Wilson Reis · UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cejudo
→
Actual result
Cejudo wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Cejudo is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cejudo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Cejudo's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CejudoReis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cejudo
Reis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
64"
Reach
+65"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cejudo
Reis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
15.5
58.4
Performance Avg
41.5
56
Quality of Victory
33
97
Momentum Score
65
Cejudo
Reis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
3.6
6.0
Style: Volume
6.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Cejudo
Reis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cejudo
Reis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
38
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Cejudo
Reis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
65
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Cejudo
Reis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
29%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cejudo
Reis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
CejudoReis
Strike Zones
Cejudo
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedReis
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cejudo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Reis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cejudo
RND
Reis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cejudo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaKO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04