UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
Denver, USA
24 Sept 2011
Lightweight
VS
78%
Diaz
22%
Gomi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Diaz
Diaz is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gomi has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Diaz
Gomi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
76"+
Reach
70"
41+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Diaz
Gomi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.3
9.8
53.4
Performance Avg
37.1
50
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
0
Diaz
Gomi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
40%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
1
2
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
34Distance3
2Clinch0
0Ground1
Diaz
Gomi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diaz
Gomi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/35 fights
Chin rating based on
13/49 fights
Diaz
Gomi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Diaz
Gomi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
10
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Gomi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
6.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
DiazGomi
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGomi
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (94% of attacks) — Gomi absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Gomi targets the body (75% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Gomi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Gomi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonRating 5.9Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.8UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorRating 7.5Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
Gomi · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dong Hyun MaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Sub · R1
Jon TuckRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · KO · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Joe LauzonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09