UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Gdansk, Poland
21 Oct 2017
Middleweight
VS
48%
Piechota
52%
Wilson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
OP
Oskar Piechota
"Imadlo"
113
6'0"76" reachSouthpaw36 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
JW
Jonathan Wilson
"Johnny Bravo"
73
Knockout Artist3-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'2"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wilson

This is a genuine toss-up — Piechota at 48% vs Wilson at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Wilson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Striking split: Piechota throws more volume but Wilson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Piechota's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Piechota
Wilson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
76"+
Reach
75"
36+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Piechota
Wilson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
18.0
41.5
Performance Avg
46.0
43
Quality of Victory
60
63
Momentum Score
36
Piechota
Wilson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
57%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
3
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance3
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Piechota
Wilson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Piechota
Wilson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Piechota
Wilson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
36
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Piechota
Wilson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Piechota
Wilson
Striking5.8 / 10.0Volume4.8 / 0.5Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Piechota
Strike Zones
Wilson
Piechota
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Wilson
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Piechota targets the head (86% of attacks) — Wilson absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Wilson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Piechota absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Piechota
RND
Wilson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Piechota · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W5.0W3.8L4.0L2.5L2017-102018-022018-072019-082019-12
WinLossTrend

Wilson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W2.8L5.8L5.5L2015-082016-062016-102017-10
WinLossTrend

Piechota · Last 5

Upcoming
Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Sub · R2
Rodolfo VieiraRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Tim WilliamsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

Wilson · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Oskar PiechotaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R2
Henrique da SilvaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
Chris DempseyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08

News & Media

Oskar Piechota · Jonathan Wilson
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