UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
17 Apr 2021
Heavyweight
VS
65%
Romanov
35%
Espino
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 1:05
Alexandr
Alexandr Romanov
"King Kong"
18 – 3
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 51
JE
Juan Espino
"El Guapo"
11 – 2
Submission Hunter45 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Romanov

Romanov holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Espino has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Espino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.

Striking split: Romanov throws more volume but Espino connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Romanov's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Romanov
Espino
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+80"
35+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Romanov
Espino
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
27.4
52.6
Performance Avg
72.9
41
Quality of Victory
77
70
Momentum Score
78
Romanov
Espino
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
79%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Romanov
Espino
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Romanov
Espino
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Romanov
Espino
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
78
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Romanov
Espino
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Romanov
Espino
Striking2.8 / 1.3Volume4.8 / 1.3Grappling4.5 / 8.0Wrestling3.1 / 5.6Submission4.3 / 10.0Pressure6.1 / 9.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
Romanov
Strike Zones
Espino
Romanov
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Espino
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Espino targets the head (50% of attacks) — Romanov absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Romanov
RND
Espino
0/0R00/0

Romanov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.6W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.9L2.8L4.5W3.3L4.8W2020-092021-102023-032024-11
WinLossTrend

Espino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.0W6.3L2018-112020-092021-04
WinLossTrend

Romanov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Alexander VolkovRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

Espino · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
W · Sub · R1
Jeff HughesRating 5
Submission
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Sub · R1
Justin FrazierRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · 2018-11

News & Media

Alexandr Romanov · Juan Espino
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