★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Miami, USA
8 Apr 2023
Middleweight
VS
55%
Pereira
45%
Adesanya
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pereira
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 55% vs Adesanya at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Pereira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Adesanya has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pereira
Adesanya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
79"
Reach
+80"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Pereira
Adesanya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
76.5
63.4
76.4
Performance Avg
61.2
72
Quality of Victory
56
78
Momentum Score
100
Pereira
Adesanya
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.2
68%
Strike Accuracy
52%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
8 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
15
12
Body
9
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
28Distance25
1Clinch0
0Ground1
Pereira
Adesanya
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Adesanya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
18
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/16 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Pereira
Adesanya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Pereira
Adesanya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
39%
8
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Adesanya
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
PereiraAdesanya
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedAdesanya
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the body (41% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Adesanya targets the head (58% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Adesanya
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Adesanya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
Ciryl GaneUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Magomed AnkalaevRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R4
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Adesanya · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

