METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jun 2012
Featherweight
VS
96%
Holloway
4%
Schilling
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Pat Schilling · The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holloway is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holloway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollowaySchilling
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holloway
Schilling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
34+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Schilling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.9
2.4
57.7
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Holloway
Schilling
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.8
Style: Volume
0.0
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
6
7
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
42Distance7
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Holloway
Schilling
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Schilling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Holloway
Schilling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Holloway
Schilling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
0%
11
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Schilling
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HollowaySchilling
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedSchilling
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (84% of attacks) — Schilling absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Schilling targets the head (86% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Schilling
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Schilling · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
L · Sub · R1
Daniel PinedaSubmission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01