UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jul 2023
Women's Featherweight
VS
43%
Santos
57%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Yana
Yana Santos
17 – 8
5'6"68" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Karol
Karol Rosa
19 – 7
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rosa

This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 43% vs Rosa at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
67"
36
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.0
48.8
38.3
Performance Avg
41.7
25
Quality of Victory
25
55
Momentum Score
80
Santos
Rosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
57%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
17
12
Body
9
17
Leg
8
RangeRange
31Distance24
2Clinch4
0Ground6
Santos
Rosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Santos
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
80
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Santos
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Rosa
Striking1.2 / 1.3Volume9.2 / 9.3Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.8 / 2.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Santos
Strike Zones
Rosa
Santos
Attacking
4HEAD12BODY17LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD9BODY8LEGS34 absorbed
Rosa
Attacking
17HEAD9BODY8LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD12BODY17LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the legs (52% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (50% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L4.5W4.5W4.0L4.8W4.9W2.3L5.6L6.2L5.0W5.4W5.8W2018-032019-122021-072024-082025-10
WinLossTrend

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.9W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.0L4.6W6.3L4.5W6.5L5.2W2019-082021-102023-042024-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Holly HolmRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

Rosa · Last 5

Upcoming
Luana Santos
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

Yana Santos · Karol Rosa
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