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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jul 2023
Women's Featherweight
VS
45%
Santos
55%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Yana
Yana Santos
178
5'6"68" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Karol
Karol Rosa
197
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 45
★ Official Result
Karol RosawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Yana Santos · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rosa
Actual result
Rosa wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 45% vs Rosa at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SantosRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Santos
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
67"
36
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.0
44.5
38.3
Performance Avg
39.6
25
Quality of Victory
25
55
Momentum Score
65
Santos
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.8
Style: Pressure
1.9
9.2
Style: Volume
9.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
17
12
Body
9
17
Leg
8
RangeRange
31Distance24
2Clinch4
0Ground6
Santos
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Santos
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
65
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Santos
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Rosa
Striking1.2 / 1.2Volume9.2 / 9.2Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.8 / 1.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.9
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.2
Santos
Strike Zones
Rosa
Santos
Attacking
4HEAD12BODY17LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD9BODY8LEGS34 absorbed
Rosa
Attacking
17HEAD9BODY8LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD12BODY17LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the legs (52% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (50% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0

Santos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Macy Chiasson
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Miesha Tate
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Chelsea Chandler
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Karol Rosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Holly Holm
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

Rosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Luana Santos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Nora Cornolle
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ailin Perez
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie Kianzad
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene Aldana
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

Yana Santos · Karol Rosa
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