UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
Los Angeles, USA
28 Feb 2015
Middleweight
VS
50%
Munoz
50%
Carneiro
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:40
MM
Mark Munoz
"The Filipino Wrecking Machine"
14 – 6
6'0"71" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
RC
Roan Carneiro
"Jucao"
21 – 11
Well-Rounded47 yrsOrthodox76" reach5'11"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Munoz

This is a genuine toss-up — Munoz at 50% vs Carneiro at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Munoz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Munoz's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Carneiro has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Munoz
Carneiro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+76"
48
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Munoz
Carneiro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
16.1
48.3
Performance Avg
41.6
41
Quality of Victory
40
55
Momentum Score
59
Munoz
Carneiro
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Munoz
Carneiro
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Munoz
Carneiro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/32 fights
Munoz
Carneiro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
59
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Munoz
Carneiro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Munoz
Carneiro
Striking5.6 / 3.4Volume5.6 / 4.9Grappling1.3 / 3.2Wrestling0.9 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure4.9 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Munoz
Strike Zones
Carneiro
Munoz
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Carneiro
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Carneiro targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Munoz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Munoz
RND
Carneiro
0/0R00/0

Munoz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.1W2.9L4.5W1.5L1.5L1.5L4.5W2009-032010-082011-112014-052015-05
WinLossTrend

Carneiro · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W2.8L5.2W2.8L5.5L5.0W1.8L4.5W5.5L2007-042008-062016-022017-02
WinLossTrend

Munoz · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Luke BarnattRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Sub · R1
Roan CarneiroRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Sub · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Lyoto MachidaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

Carneiro · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · Sub · R1
Mark MunozRating 5
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09

News & Media

Mark Munoz · Roan Carneiro
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