UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Mar 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
97%
Nunes
3%
Baszler
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:56
AN
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
23 – 5
5'8"69" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
SB
Shayna Baszler
"The Queen of Spades"
15 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox5'7"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nunes

Nunes is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 57 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 66 points.

Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Baszler has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nunes
Baszler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
37+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Baszler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
1.6
75.2
Performance Avg
0.0
66
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Nunes
Baszler
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
19%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
1
Body
0
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Nunes
Baszler
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Baszler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/26 fights
Nunes
Baszler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Nunes
Baszler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nunes
Baszler
Striking6.2 / 0.0Volume4.8 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission1.9 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Nunes
Strike Zones
Baszler
Nunes
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY6LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Baszler
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY6LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (53% of attacks) — Baszler absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Baszler targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nunes
RND
Baszler
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W6.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.9W5.9W5.0W5.9W6.1W5.0W5.1W5.7W4.8W5.0W3.7L6.0W5.3W2013-082016-032018-122021-122023-06
WinLossTrend

Baszler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0102.8L2.7L2014-082015-03
WinLossTrend

Nunes · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06

Baszler · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · KO · R2
Bethe CorreiaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08

News & Media

Amanda Nunes · Shayna Baszler
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