METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Las Vegas, USA
7 Sept 2024
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Schnell
50%
Durden
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:29
★ Official Result
Cody DurdenwinsSubmissionR2 · 0:29
def. Matt Schnell · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Schnell
→
Actual result
Durden wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Schnell at 50% vs Durden at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Schnell's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Durden has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SchnellDurden
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Schnell
Durden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
67"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Schnell
Durden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.5
36.8
39.6
Performance Avg
37.6
37
Quality of Victory
34
45
Momentum Score
54
Schnell
Durden
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
3.3
5.5
Style: Volume
6.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Schnell
Durden
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Schnell
Durden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/27 fights
Chin rating based on
17/28 fights
Schnell
Durden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
54
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Schnell
Durden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schnell
Durden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
SchnellDurden
Strike Zones
Schnell
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedDurden
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Durden targets the head (100% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schnell
RND
Durden
0/0R00/0
Schnell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alessandro CostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Steve ErcegKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
Durden · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alessandro CostaSubmission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Jafel FilhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Nyamjargal TumendemberelDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Sub · R2
Allan NascimentoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Jose OchoaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06