METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
London, United Kingdom
17 Mar 2018
Lightweight
VS
49%
Ray
51%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kajan JohnsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Stevie Ray · UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ray at 49% vs Johnson at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Ray's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RayJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ray
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+75"
36+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ray
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
16.1
46.0
Performance Avg
41.6
34
Quality of Victory
31
46
Momentum Score
66
Ray
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
3.5
7.0
Style: Volume
7.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
4
0
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance5
0Clinch0
7Ground3
Ray
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ray
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/36 fights
Ray
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
66
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ray
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ray
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
RayJohnson
Strike Zones
Ray
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ray targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ray
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Ray · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Leonardo SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul FelderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Stevie RayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R3
Adriano MartinsKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Naoyuki KotaniDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09