UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
London, United Kingdom
17 Mar 2018
Lightweight
VS
49%
Ray
51%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SR
Stevie Ray
"Braveheart"
23 – 9
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
KJ
Kajan Johnson
"Ragin'"
23 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Ray at 49% vs Johnson at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ray has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ray's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ray
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+75"
36+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ray
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
16.1
46.0
Performance Avg
41.6
34
Quality of Victory
31
46
Momentum Score
66
Ray
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
4
0
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance5
0Clinch0
7Ground3
Ray
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ray
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/36 fights
Ray
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
66
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ray
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ray
Johnson
Striking4.1 / 3.6Volume7.0 / 7.1Grappling1.7 / 1.8Wrestling1.2 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Ray
Strike Zones
Johnson
Ray
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ray targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ray
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0

Ray · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.2W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W1.6L4.6W2015-042016-092017-072019-062019-10
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W3.5L5.5L2014-062015-092018-032018-09
WinLossTrend

Ray · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Leonardo SantosRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul FelderRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07

Johnson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R3
Adriano MartinsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Naoyuki KotaniRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09

News & Media

Stevie Ray · Kajan Johnson
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