METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
London, United Kingdom
17 Mar 2018
Lightweight
VS
49%
Ray
51%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kajan JohnsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Stevie Ray · UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ray at 49% vs Johnson at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ray has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ray's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RayJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ray
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+75"
36+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ray
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
16.1
46.0
Performance Avg
41.6
34
Quality of Victory
31
46
Momentum Score
66
Ray
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
0.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
4
0
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance5
0Clinch0
7Ground3
Ray
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ray
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/36 fights
Ray
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
66
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ray
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ray
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
RayJohnson
Strike Zones
Ray
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ray targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ray
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Ray · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ray · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Leonardo SantosRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul FelderRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R3
Adriano MartinsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Naoyuki KotaniRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09