METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Ottawa, Canada
4 May 2019
Featherweight
VS
59%
Swanson
41%
Burgos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Shane BurgoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cub Swanson · UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Swanson
→
Actual result
Burgos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 59% vs Burgos at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burgos has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SwansonBurgos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Swanson
Burgos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+75"
42
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Burgos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
31.9
48.8
Performance Avg
50.0
40
Quality of Victory
35
56
Momentum Score
100
Swanson
Burgos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
4.8
5.2
Style: Volume
6.5
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
27
4
Body
8
23
Leg
10
RangeRange
35Distance40
9Clinch5
5Ground0
Swanson
Burgos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Swanson
Burgos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Swanson
Burgos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Swanson
Burgos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
38%
8
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swanson
Burgos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
SwansonBurgos
Strike Zones
Swanson
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedBurgos
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the legs (47% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Burgos targets the head (60% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swanson
RND
Burgos
0/0R00/0
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrKO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Burgos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniKO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11