METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
Brooklyn, USA
11 Feb 2017
Flyweight
VS
47%
Reis
53%
Sasaki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Wilson ReiswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Yuta Sasaki · UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sasaki
→
Actual result
Reis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Reis at 47% vs Sasaki at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sasaki has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Reis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sasaki has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReisSasaki
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reis
Sasaki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'10"
65"
Reach
+71"
41
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Reis
Sasaki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
17.8
41.5
Performance Avg
48.2
33
Quality of Victory
51
65
Momentum Score
46
Reis
Sasaki
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
8.3
6.8
Style: Volume
0.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
1
Body
4
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Reis
Sasaki
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reis
Sasaki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
9/27 fights
Reis
Sasaki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
46
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Reis
Sasaki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reis
Sasaki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
ReisSasaki
Strike Zones
Reis
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSasaki
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reis targets the head (43% of attacks) — Sasaki absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Sasaki targets the head (62% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reis
RND
Sasaki
0/0R00/0
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaKO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
Sasaki · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alexandre PantojaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R2
Jenel LausaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
W · Sub · R2
Justin ScogginsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisDecision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02