UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Sydney, Australia
26 Feb 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
65%
Gustafsson
35%
Huna
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gustafsson
Gustafsson holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Huna has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Huna has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gustafsson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Huna has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gustafsson
Huna
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
75"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gustafsson
Huna
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.8
13.2
50.3
Performance Avg
46.4
47
Quality of Victory
44
39
Momentum Score
10
Gustafsson
Huna
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground6
Gustafsson
Huna
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.3
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gustafsson
Huna
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/25 fights
Gustafsson
Huna
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
10
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Gustafsson
Huna
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gustafsson
Huna
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
GustafssonHuna
Strike Zones
Gustafsson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedHuna
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Huna absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Huna targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gustafsson
RND
Huna
0/0R00/0
Gustafsson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Huna · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Gustafsson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Sub · R4
Anthony SmithRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
Huna · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Steve BosseRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Sub · R1
Nate MarquardtRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · Sub · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9Submission
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
W · Dec · R3
Ryan JimmoRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02