METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Belgrade, Serbia
1 Aug 2026
Lightweight
VS
8%
Janicic
92%
Gugnon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:21
★ Official Result
Noah GugnonwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:21
def. Milos Janicic · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gugnon
→
Actual result
Gugnon wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Gugnon is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 73 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gugnon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JanicicGugnon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Janicic
Gugnon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
29
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Janicic
Gugnon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.0
80.2
0.0
Performance Avg
72.4
0
Quality of Victory
54
0
Momentum Score
100
Janicic
Gugnon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
10.0
0.0
Style: Volume
2.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
6Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Janicic
Gugnon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Janicic
Gugnon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/23 fights
Chin rating based on
1/12 fights
Janicic
Gugnon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Janicic
Gugnon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Janicic
Gugnon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
JanicicGugnon
Strike Zones
Janicic
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedGugnon
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Janicic targets the head (83% of attacks) — Gugnon absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Gugnon targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Janicic absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Janicic
RND
Gugnon
0/0R00/0
Janicic · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Noah GugnonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
Gugnon · Last 1
W · Sub · R1
Milos JanicicSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08