UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Barueri, Brazil
9 Oct 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Maldonado
46%
Beltran
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FM
Fabio Maldonado
"Caipira de Aco"
23 – 11
6'1"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JB
Joey Beltran
"The Mexicutioner"
17 – 14
Striker4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maldonado

This is a genuine toss-up — Maldonado at 54% vs Beltran at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maldonado's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Beltran has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maldonado
Beltran
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
46
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maldonado
Beltran
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
14.9
39.8
Performance Avg
39.3
36
Quality of Victory
43
81
Momentum Score
33
Maldonado
Beltran
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.4
63%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
14
11
Body
7
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance10
10Clinch8
0Ground3
Maldonado
Beltran
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maldonado
Beltran
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
68
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
10/31 fights
Maldonado
Beltran
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Maldonado
Beltran
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maldonado
Beltran
Striking4.9 / 7.3Volume5.7 / 3.3Grappling1.4 / 0.8Wrestling1.0 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Maldonado
Strike Zones
Beltran
Maldonado
Attacking
24HEAD11BODY1LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD7BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Beltran
Attacking
14HEAD7BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD11BODY1LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maldonado targets the head (67% of attacks) — Beltran absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Beltran targets the head (67% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maldonado
RND
Beltran
0/0R00/0

Maldonado · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.5L5.5L5.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.6L5.2W5.5L5.5L2010-102012-102014-032015-042015-11
WinLossTrend

Beltran · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5W6.6L1.5L5.5L5.5L2010-022011-012012-012013-10
WinLossTrend

Maldonado · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Beltran · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Upcoming
Igor Pokrajac
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
James Te HunaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10

News & Media

Fabio Maldonado · Joey Beltran
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