Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter
Hollywood, USA
10 Oct 2006
Middleweight
VS
89%
Marquardt
11%
Wallace
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Marquardt
Marquardt is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Marquardt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Marquardt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Marquardt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marquardt
Wallace
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
47+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marquardt
Wallace
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
2.1
48.6
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Marquardt
Wallace
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
8%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Marquardt
Wallace
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquardt
Wallace
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
2/24 fights
Marquardt
Wallace
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Marquardt
Wallace
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marquardt
Wallace
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MarquardtWallace
Strike Zones
Marquardt
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedWallace
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marquardt targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wallace absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marquardt
RND
Wallace
0/0R00/0
Marquardt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Wallace · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
Marquardt · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
Wallace · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8Submission
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10
L · Sub · R1
Martin KampmannRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08