UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2011
Bantamweight
VS
61%
Watson
39%
Jabouin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
WW
Walel Watson
"The Gazelle"
14 – 10
5'11"75" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 18
YJ
Yves Jabouin
"Tiger"
20 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Watson

Watson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Jabouin has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Watson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Jabouin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jabouin has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Watson
Jabouin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
75"+
Reach
68"
41+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Watson
Jabouin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
11.7
46.0
Performance Avg
35.0
60
Quality of Victory
25
36
Momentum Score
55
Watson
Jabouin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
33%
Strike Accuracy
42%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
4
Body
2
5
Leg
10
RangeRange
17Distance16
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Watson
Jabouin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Watson
Jabouin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
10
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/24 fights
Chin rating based on
10/31 fights
Watson
Jabouin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Watson
Jabouin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Watson
Jabouin
Striking10.0 / 1.0Volume0.5 / 9.0Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Watson
Strike Zones
Jabouin
Watson
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY5LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY10LEGS16 absorbed
Jabouin
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY10LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY5LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Watson targets the head (55% of attacks) — Jabouin absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Jabouin targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Watson absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Watson
RND
Jabouin
0/0R00/0

Watson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.5L5.6L1.5L2011-102011-122012-022012-09
WinLossTrend

Jabouin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0101.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L1.5L2011-042012-052014-012015-08
WinLossTrend

Watson · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Mitch GagnonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Joseph SandovalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Jabouin · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Felipe ArantesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Thomas AlmeidaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Dec · R3
Mike EastonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · KO · R2
Eddie WinelandRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
W · Dec · R3
Dustin PagueRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06

News & Media

Walel Watson · Yves Jabouin
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