METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 59: Reality Check
Anaheim, USA
15 Apr 2006
Welterweight
VS
36%
Sherk
64%
Diaz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sean SherkwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nick Diaz · UFC 59: Reality Check
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Sherk wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Sherk has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Sherk's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diaz has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SherkDiaz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sherk
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+6'1"
67"
Reach
+76"
53
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Sherk
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
28.9
45.8
Performance Avg
49.6
32
Quality of Victory
49
65
Momentum Score
46
Sherk
Diaz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
6.7
/ 10
2.9
Style: Pressure
7.5
7.3
Style: Volume
2.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
16
2
Body
4
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance15
10Clinch6
0Ground0
Sherk
Diaz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sherk
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/40 fights
Chin rating based on
15/36 fights
Sherk
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
46
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Sherk
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
86%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sherk
Diaz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
SherkDiaz
Strike Zones
Sherk
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedDiaz
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sherk targets the head (68% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Diaz targets the head (76% of attacks) — Sherk absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sherk
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0
Sherk · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamDecision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
L · Dec · R3
Frankie EdgarDecision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
W · Dec · R3
Tyson GriffinDecision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · KO · R3
BJ PennKO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
W · Dec · R5
Hermes FrancaDecision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
Diaz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson SilvaUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreDecision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditDecision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennDecision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10