METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
Milwaukee, USA
31 Aug 2013
Featherweight
VS
32%
Mendes
68%
Guida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:30
★ Official Result
Chad MendeswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:30
def. Clay Guida · UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guida
→
Actual result
Mendes wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Guida holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Mendes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mendes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guida has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MendesGuida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mendes
Guida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Guida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
44.2
54.7
Performance Avg
40.7
48
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
78
Mendes
Guida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.0
57%
Strike Accuracy
36%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
2Clinch0
6Ground0
Mendes
Guida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mendes
Guida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
8
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
37/60 fights
Mendes
Guida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Mendes
Guida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
39%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mendes
Guida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.8
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
MendesGuida
Strike Zones
Mendes
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedGuida
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Guida targets the head (67% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mendes
RND
Guida
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mendes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Guida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
Guida · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R1
Claudio PuellesRating 2.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04