UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
Milwaukee, USA
31 Aug 2013
Featherweight
VS
32%
Mendes
68%
Guida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:30
CM
Chad Mendes
"Money"
18 – 5
5'6"66" reachOrthodox41 yrsStriker
CFR 21
Clay
Clay Guida
"The Carpenter"
38 – 22
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guida

Guida holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Mendes has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Mendes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Guida has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Mendes
Guida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Guida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
44.2
54.7
Performance Avg
40.7
48
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
78
Mendes
Guida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.0
57%
Strike Accuracy
36%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
2Clinch0
6Ground0
Mendes
Guida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mendes
Guida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
8
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
37/60 fights
Mendes
Guida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Mendes
Guida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
39%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mendes
Guida
Striking8.0 / 2.1Volume4.0 / 5.9Grappling0.8 / 3.7Wrestling0.6 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 2.8Pressure6.6 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.8
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
Mendes
Strike Zones
Guida
Mendes
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Guida
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Guida targets the head (67% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mendes
RND
Guida
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Mendes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.9W2.0L5.0W5.0W5.5W6.0W4.5W6.0L5.0W4.1L1.5L5.0W4.2L2011-022012-122014-102018-072018-12
WinLossTrend

Guida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.2W5.7W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.4L4.5W5.0W2.9L4.5W1.9L6.2L4.6W5.7L5.3W2.4L4.5W6.3L6.1L2.3L2006-102010-032015-042021-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Mendes · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04

Guida · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R1
Claudio PuellesRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

News & Media

Chad Mendes · Clay Guida
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