UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Las Vegas, USA
4 Apr 2026
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Ewing
40%
Estevam
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:44
Ethyn
Ethyn Ewing
"The Professor Finesser"
10 – 2
5'6"69" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight win streakVolume Striker
CFR 70
Rafael
Rafael Estevam
"Macapa"
14 – 1
Well-Rounded29 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ewing

Ewing holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Estevam has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ewing has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Ewing has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Ewing
Estevam
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
69"
Reach
69"
30
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ewing
Estevam
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.6
46.8
62.5
Performance Avg
45.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
67
Ewing
Estevam
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
37%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
9
3
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
26Distance13
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Ewing
Estevam
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ewing
Estevam
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Ewing
Estevam
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
67
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ewing
Estevam
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ewing
Estevam
Striking7.0 / 1.5Volume6.0 / 9.5Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Ewing
Strike Zones
Estevam
Ewing
Attacking
23HEAD3BODY1LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY3LEGS13 absorbed
Estevam
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY3LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD3BODY1LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ewing targets the head (85% of attacks) — Estevam absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Estevam targets the head (69% of attacks) — Ewing absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ewing
RND
Estevam
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ewing · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0105.9W6.1W2025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Estevam · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.4W5.4W5.1W5.7L2023-112025-022025-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Ewing · Last 3

Upcoming
Farid Basharat
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R3
Rafael EstevamRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Malcolm WellmakerRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

Estevam · Last 4

L · KO · R3
Ethyn EwingRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Felipe BunesRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jesus AguilarRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11

News & Media

Ethyn Ewing · Rafael Estevam
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