UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
Las Vegas, USA
16 Oct 2021
Middleweight
VS
27%
Sanchez
73%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
Silva is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sanchez
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
61.6
48.2
Performance Avg
49.0
47
Quality of Victory
58
43
Momentum Score
91
Sanchez
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
37
4
Body
18
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance47
1Clinch8
0Ground0
Sanchez
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sanchez
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
11/36 fights
Sanchez
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Sanchez
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
SanchezSilva
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedSilva
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (82% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (67% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Wellington TurmanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06