UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Las Vegas, USA
18 Jan 2020
Flyweight
VS
56%
Elliott
44%
Askarov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tim
Tim Elliott
22 – 14
5'7"66" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
AA
Askar Askarov
"Bullet"
14 – 1
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 30

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elliott

This is a genuine toss-up — Elliott at 56% vs Askarov at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Elliott throws more volume but Askarov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Elliott
Askarov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+67"
39
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Askarov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
29.5
37.9
Performance Avg
47.5
33
Quality of Victory
29
43
Momentum Score
83
Elliott
Askarov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
27
12
Body
2
4
Leg
7
RangeRange
17Distance33
10Clinch3
0Ground0
Elliott
Askarov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Askarov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/36 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Elliott
Askarov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
83
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Elliott
Askarov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elliott
Askarov
Striking0.9 / 1.5Volume6.5 / 9.5Grappling4.1 / 2.4Wrestling2.9 / 1.7Submission3.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Elliott
Strike Zones
Askarov
Elliott
Attacking
11HEAD12BODY4LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD2BODY7LEGS36 absorbed
Askarov
Attacking
27HEAD2BODY7LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD12BODY4LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the body (44% of attacks) — Askarov absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Askarov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elliott
RND
Askarov
0/0R00/0

Elliott · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.2W2.6L5.5L3.5L4.5W4.5W5.7L5.6W4.6W5.4L5.6W5.2W6.1L2012-052016-122020-052023-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Askarov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.6W5.8W4.5W6.4L2020-012020-072021-032022-03
WinLossTrend

Elliott · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1
Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
SumudaerjiRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

Askarov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
Upcoming
Brandon Moreno
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09

News & Media

Tim Elliott · Askar Askarov
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