METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch
Pittsburgh, USA
16 Sept 2017
Middleweight
VS
17%
Lombard
83%
Smith
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:33
★ Official Result
Anthony SmithwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:33
def. Hector Lombard · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Smith wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Smith is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lombard's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smith has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LombardSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lombard
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'4"
71"
Reach
+76"
48
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lombard
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.7
58.3
39.9
Performance Avg
50.7
48
Quality of Victory
50
0
Momentum Score
100
Lombard
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.2
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
6.9
3.2
Style: Volume
2.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
1
Body
3
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance15
1Clinch1
0Ground1
Lombard
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lombard
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/44 fights
Chin rating based on
25/60 fights
Lombard
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Lombard
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
77%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
5
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lombard
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
LombardSmith
Strike Zones
Lombard
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedSmith
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lombard targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (76% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lombard
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lombard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksDecision
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Dan HendersonKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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L · KO · R3
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